APPLICATION OF THE FUZZY LOGIC METHODS TO SIMULATE THE NUCLEAR WEAPONS NON-PROLIFERATION PROCESS
A. N. Vereshchaga, A. K. Chernyshev
VANT. Ser.: Mat. Mod. Fiz. Proc 2013. Вып.4. С. 3-16.
A model of nuclear choice as a part of the non-proliferation process (the stage of making decision concerning the development of weapons) developed on the base of fuzzy logic methods is presented. A number of internal and external factors characterizing the events concerning the nuclear choice made by the given state are used as input variables. The well-known international indexes are used to generate the membership functions of fuzzy variables in use. Results of tests estimating the known historical facts are presented for de jure and de facto nuclear states, as well as threshold states, which denied further development of nuclear weapons. Potential application area is given for the developed model.Keywords: nuclear weapons, non-proliferation, fuzzy logic, nuclear choice.
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